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McDonald's Corporation

MCD

Consumer Cyclical

$335.06

-1.76%

Price History (1 Year)

Market Cap

$239.1B

P/E Ratio

28.1x

P/B Ratio

-121.74x

EV/EBITDA

19.5x

ROE

-478.1%

FCF Yield

3.3%

Div. Yield

2.16%

DCF Value

$246.72

Overvalued vs DCF

QuarterRevenueNet IncomeEPS
2025-12-31$7.01B$2.16B$3.03
2025-09-30$7.08B$2.28B$3.20
2025-06-30$6.84B$2.25B$3.15
2025-03-31$5.96B$1.87B$2.61

AI Analysis

MCD: GLP-1 Headwinds vs Franchise Moat

  • MCD at $308.85 trades 10% below its 52-week high of $341.75 — a repricing driven by GLP-1 headwinds, beef price inflation, and value-menu margin pressure, not a collapse in fundamentals.
  • Full-year 2025 EPS of approximately $11.95 on revenue of $27.89B shows the franchise model is resilient, but Q4's sequential revenue dip from $7.08B to $7.01B signals the second-half tailwind has stalled.
  • The FCF yield of ~3.3% at current prices is modest; the more compelling valuation case emerges below $295, where the forward multiple and FCF yield align for a genuine margin of safety.
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Consumer Cyclical Peers

Data provided by Financial Modeling Prep. AI analysis generated by Claude. This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.