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$94 Oil Risk-Off? The Panic Trade Is Wrong

Crude hit $94.13 today and the financial commentary machine switched to full risk-off mode. Sell equities. Buy volatility. Hide in treasuries. The same playbook everyone runs when oil spikes — and the same playbook that costs you money when the spike reverses. Here's what the panic crowd isn't telling you: WTI was $98.71 six days ago. It's lower now. The S&P 500 at $651.45 is 7% off its high — a garden-variety correction, not a crisis. And every historical oil shock since 1990 has produced a buying opportunity within 60 days of the first fear spike. The consensus trade is crowded, obvious, and wrong.

March 26, 2026Read More