Articles Tagged: ev/ebitda

2 articles found

Intel Stock Outlook: Policy Tailwinds vs. Execution Headwinds in an AI-Centric Cycle

As of Thursday, August 14, 2025 (4:00 pm ET), Intel (INTC) closed at $23.86 with an implied market capitalization of approximately $99.13 billion (per Yahoo Finance and FMP). Broader risk appetite was firm: SPY $644.95, Nasdaq Composite 21,710.67, and SOXX $254.14, while the VIX slipped to 14.51 (Yahoo Finance). Semis leadership remained concentrated in AI bellwethers: Nvidia (NVDA) $182.02, AMD $180.95, and TSM $241.00 (Yahoo Finance). Rates context as of August 14, 2025 shows a normalizing, upward-sloping curve: 2Y 3.74%, 5Y 3.82%, 10Y 4.29%, 30Y 4.88%, with the 2s10s spread at +55 bps and 3M–10Y roughly flat (−0.01 bps), signaling transition from deep inversion (U.S. Treasury). Market-based inflation metrics are anchored: the 10-year breakeven is 2.39% and 10-year TIPS real yield 1.87% (FRED). High-grade and high-yield credit spreads remain supportive at ~0.78% (IG OAS) and ~2.90% (HY OAS), respectively (FRED).

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Nvidia’s AI Flywheel: Self-Funding Growth Machine or Late-Cycle Euphoria?

In late May, Nvidia reported a quarter that would be outlandish for most companies and merely exceptional for itself: $44.06 billion in revenue and $18.78 billion in net income for Q1 FY2026, the fiscal quarter ended April 27, 2025, according to SEC filings. Free cash flow in the period reached $26.19 billion—enough to cover aggressive buybacks, rising R&D, and capital investments while still lifting the cash stockpile. Shares subsequently pushed to fresh 52-week highs, peaking near $183.88, according to Yahoo Finance. Investors are asking a deceptively simple question with complex implications: Is Nvidia’s run the rational repricing of a dominant platform business or a late-cycle overshoot tethered to capex exuberance at the hyperscalers? This article examines the financial evidence, valuation and cash conversion dynamics, and the practical constraints that could test the durability of this AI bull case. We synthesize official filings and market data to separate verified operating power from speculative extrapolation—and to identify what would have to go right, or wrong, from here.

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