US Treasury Yield Curve

Live treasury yield data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Monitor interest rate trends across all maturities and detect yield curve inversions in real-time.

US Treasury Yield Curve

Understanding Yield Curves

Normal Curve: 50-250 basis points spread (healthy economic growth)
Steep Curve: >250 basis points spread (strong growth expectations)
Flat Curve: <50 basis points spread (economic uncertainty)
Inverted Curve: Negative spread (recession warning signal)

Key Yield Curve Indicators

  • 2-10 Spread: Most watched recession indicator
  • 3m-10y Spread: Fed's preferred yield curve measure
  • Curve Steepness: Reflects growth expectations
  • Long End (20Y-30Y): Inflation and fiscal concerns
  • Short End (1M-2Y): Fed policy expectations