Recession Dashboard: What 7 Key Indicators Say Now
Four of seven major recession indicators are flashing green, two are yellow, and one is red. That mixed signal is the entire story of this economy in March 2026: strong enough to grow, fragile enough to worry about. The Fed has cut rates to 3.64% from 4.33% a year ago. Unemployment sits at 4.4%. The yield curve has un-inverted. And yet consumer sentiment remains stuck in the mid-50s — a level historically associated with households bracing for trouble. Here is where every indicator stands right now, what it means, and the one signal that should concern you most.
recession indicatorsfederal reserveinterest rates