Articles Tagged: ai

7 articles found

Adobe Q3 Beat and Raised Guidance — Is AI-Driven ARR the New Growth Engine for ADBE?

Adobe delivered a clean fiscal Q3 beat on revenue and EPS, raised Q4 guidance, and highlighted accelerating AI influence on its subscription base. Revenue grew 11% year over year to $5.99 billion versus $5.91 billion expected, and adjusted EPS of $5.31 topped the $5.18 consensus. Management also lifted its full-year Digital Media annualized revenue growth outlook to 11.3% from 11.0% and disclosed that AI-influenced ARR has surpassed $5 billion—already ahead of the company’s full-year AI-first ending ARR target. Despite improved execution, the stock has lagged year to date. With shares recently around $348 and well below the 52-week high, investors are asking whether AI-influenced ARR can become a durable multi-quarter growth engine rather than a one-off catalyst.

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TSMC’s Premium: Parsing Taiwan Semiconductor’s Value Amid Policy Shifts, High Capex, and a Steepening Curve

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) sits at the center of the AI compute supply chain. As of intraday Tuesday, its ADRs trade near $237.45, within sight of the 52‑week high at $248.28 and well above the $134.25 low, as investors balance 3nm/5nm leadership, a multi‑year capex program, and evolving policy risk. The macro backdrop remains supportive for capital‑intensive leaders: the effective federal funds rate has held at 4.33% throughout 2025, while the 10‑year Treasury yield is about 4.28% and the 2s10s curve has re‑steepened to roughly +55 bps (10Y 4.28% minus 2Y 3.73%). Ten‑year breakeven inflation is anchored near 2.41%, implying a proxy real 10‑year near 1.87%—a level that enforces valuation discipline but does not preclude premium multiples for cash‑generative cyclicals with durable moats, per FRED and U.S. Treasury data. Cross‑asset pricing corroborates that mix: SPY around $642.10, QQQ near $569.84, gold (GLD) near $310.92, long bonds (TLT) depressed near $86.56, and oil (USO) around $74.66, per Yahoo Finance.

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Apple’s AI Play: Strategic Upside Meets Legal and Valuation Crosswinds

Apple’s operating-system-level push into generative AI—bringing ChatGPT-powered capabilities alongside on-device intelligence to iPhone, iPad, and Mac—arrives with markets steady and rates gradually normalizing. As of today, Apple trades at $227.16, up about 8.9% over the last 30 days, while SPY is at $642.47 (+2.8%) and QQQ at $570.32 (+2.5%), reflecting firm risk appetite across mega-cap tech and broad equities (per Yahoo Finance - Market Data). Cross-asset signals are constructive but nuanced: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is 4.28% versus 3.73% on the 2-year—about +55 bps 2s/10s—while the 3-month is 4.29%, leaving the 3M/10Y essentially flat at roughly -1 bp, a marked improvement from the deep inversions seen in 2023–24 (U.S. Treasury - Yield Data).

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AI Wars in the Cloud: How Microsoft, Amazon and Google Are Repricing the Market’s Next Profit Cycle

Big Tech’s AI-and-cloud arms race is setting the tone for equity leadership as late summer trading unfolds. Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet anchor enterprise AI budgets and control hyperscale infrastructure that Europe increasingly relies on—elevating both return potential and regulatory scrutiny. As of Monday’s session, the market tone is constructive: the S&P 500 (SPY) trades near 644.32 and the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) around 572.23, with gold (GLD) near 310.53 and long-duration Treasuries (TLT) around 87.00, per Yahoo Finance. The Treasury curve has re-steepened at the long end even as policy remains tight: 3-month ~4.27%, 2-year ~3.68%, 10-year ~4.26%, and 30-year ~4.88% (U.S. Treasury), implying a positive 10s–2s spread of roughly +58 bps. With the effective fed funds rate steady at 4.33% and unemployment at 4.2% (FRED), investors are rewarding earnings durability, operating leverage, and clear AI monetization paths.

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AI Euphoria Meets Earnings Gravity: Will the AI Bubble Pop or Deflate Gracefully?

A week that began with a 26% collapse in C3.ai and a 20% drop in CoreWeave ended with the Nasdaq 100 flirting with record highs, underscoring the tension that now defines artificial intelligence investing. As of Friday’s close, the S&P 500 (SPY) finished at $645.31 and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) at $571.97, while Nvidia (NVDA) advanced to $177.99, per Yahoo Finance. The volatility backdrop eased, with the VIX at 14.22, also according to Yahoo Finance. The macro backdrop remains supportive: the 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.26% and the 2-year at 3.68%, a positive 58-basis-point 10y–2y spread that marks a decisive exit from inversion, per U.S. Treasury data. The effective fed funds rate is 4.33% and unemployment is 4.2% (July), while real GDP is running near $30.33 trillion SAAR in Q2, according to FRED. That policy and liquidity cushion, however, is being tested by uneven AI monetization and timing risks. C3.ai’s CEO called preliminary sales “completely unacceptable,” while CoreWeave’s wider-than-expected loss hit sentiment ahead of its lock-up expiration even as it raised 2025 revenue guidance and highlighted a $30.1 billion backlog, CNBC reported. At the same time, cash-rich incumbents continue to execute: Cisco posted a narrow beat with strong AI infrastructure orders, and Foxconn reported a 27% profit jump as AI servers climbed to 41% of revenue, per CNBC. The result is a market where index-level optimism coexists with stock-specific air pockets—making backlog conversion, margins, and balance sheet strength the critical differentiators.

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IBM’s $240 reset: why a 19% drawdown is forcing a harder look at cash conversion, leverage, and the AI promise

International Business Machines shares have slipped to roughly $240, nearly 19% below their 52‑week high of $296.16, as investors reassess the durability of its AI-led narrative and the quality of cash generation behind it. According to Yahoo Finance, the stock has fallen about 16% over the past month on elevated volumes, with a pronounced downdraft around the late‑July earnings window. The stakes are clear: IBM is asking investors to pay up for a higher-quality, software‑heavy portfolio, while the market is demanding near-term cash flow that comfortably funds a sizable dividend and services a large debt stack. The company’s latest quarterly filing shows healthy operating margins but softer cash conversion, a combination that has energized skeptics just as enthusiasm for “enterprise AI” has grown more discriminating. Bulls and bears now agree on one thing—execution over the next two quarters matters more than slideware. This article reconstructs the price action, reconciles it with the SEC‑filed fundamentals, and weighs the Street’s longer‑dated expectations against the nearer‑term evidence.

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Oracle’s AI Build-Out Has Rewired Its Valuation: What the Stock’s Surge Prices In—and What Must Still Be Proven

In the six weeks leading into August, Oracle’s share price climbed nearly 19%, closing at $250.05 on Friday, August 8, up from roughly $210 at the end of June, according to Yahoo Finance. The rally crested intraday at a fresh 52-week high of $260.87 on July 31, placing Oracle among the most visible beneficiaries of the market’s AI infrastructure trade. Behind the price action sits a striking capital expenditure cycle: free cash flow turned negative in the fiscal fourth quarter as Oracle accelerated data center build-outs tied to AI demand, SEC filings show for Q4 FY2025 (quarter ended May 31, 2025). That combination—rising price, rising capex, and the promise of AI-driven cloud growth—has transformed how investors value a software stalwart now trading as a capacity-constrained infrastructure provider in transition. Yet, the filings also reveal leverage, working-capital tightness, and margins that have not visibly expanded despite the hype, complicating the bull case. This article synthesizes recent filings, valuation metrics, and trading dynamics to examine what the market is discounting in Oracle’s AI growth story—and what still needs to show up in the numbers.

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