Articles Tagged: 10 year treasury

4 articles found

Mortgage Demand Surges as 10‑Year Treasury Yield Falls Below 4% — Playbooks for Buyers, Sellers, and Real‑Estate Investors

A sharp bond rally—punctuated by the 10‑year Treasury yield testing sub‑4% intraday and closing near 4.01% on Sept. 11 before edging back to ~4.06% on Sept. 12—pulled mortgage rates to their lowest levels in nearly a year. Average 30‑year fixed quotes fell into the low‑to‑mid 6% range on the latest weekly read (about 6.35%), with some lenders briefly pricing high‑5% scenarios for top‑tier borrowers during the downdraft. Borrower response was immediate: total mortgage applications jumped 9.2% week over week, the strongest since 2022, with refinances up 12% and purchases up 7%. Adjustable‑rate mortgages also saw renewed interest, reflecting a wider spread versus fixed loans. This report explains the mechanics behind the move, quantifies the payment impact, and delivers clear playbooks for buyers, sellers, and investors—along with risk controls if rates snap back.

mortgage rates10-year Treasuryhousing market+9 more

Mortgage Rates Plunge as 10-Year Treasury Slides: Demand Surges and the Housing Playbook Shifts

A weaker-than-expected August jobs report knocked the 10-year Treasury yield toward 4%, igniting the sharpest daily drop in mortgage rates in more than a year and flipping the switch on pent-up demand. Average 30-year fixed rates are now firmly in the mid-6% range (6.35% as of September 11), with some lenders quoting in the high-5s for top-tier borrowers. The move is resetting near-term affordability calculations, reviving refinance conversations, and reordering the housing playbook for buyers, owners, and builders alike. The transmission mechanism is classic: softer labor data eased bond yields; mortgage-backed securities rallied; primary mortgage rates followed. The result is already visible in the application pipeline. Purchase demand is rising at the fastest clip since 2022, refinance activity is stirring, and homebuilder equities have sprinted higher over the past month. Yet structural constraints—stubborn prices and tight inventory—mean relief is real but not a cure. What happens next hinges on upcoming inflation prints, the Federal Reserve’s path, and whether supply can meet reawakened demand.

mortgage rates10-year TreasuryMBA applications+15 more

After the Jobs Curveball: How a September Fed Decision Could Reshape Stocks, Bonds and Mortgage Rates

Last week’s jobs curveball — an unexpectedly weak August payrolls print (nonfarm payrolls +22,000) coupled with a retroactive Bureau of Labor Statistics revision that reduced prior tallies by roughly 911,000 jobs — forced markets to reshape expectations for the Federal Reserve’s September meeting. That labor weakness arrived alongside a modest August CPI uptick and firmer core readings, producing a classic policy trade-off: weakening labor-market momentum that leans toward easing versus inflation signals that argue for caution. Markets quickly repriced the path of policy, moving short-dated futures and pushing Treasury yields and mortgage pricing lower. The Fed’s September decision — whether a cut, a pause, or a recalibration of forward guidance — will ripple across equities, the Treasury curve and mortgage markets, with immediate implications for monthly payments, housing demand and sector leadership. This article explains what happened, how markets reacted, the transmission channels to mortgage rates and housing activity, and practical scenarios for investors and borrowers preparing for the Fed’s next move.

Federal Reservejobs reportnonfarm payrolls+7 more

Canceled Contracts Spike to 15%: What Rising Fall‑Throughs Signal for Home Prices, Mortgage Demand and the Fall Market

Pending home sales slipped in July and fall‑throughs surged to the highest level since at least 2017 tracking—an unmistakable stress flare as the market pivots into the critical autumn listing season. The National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) fell 0.4% month over month in July (still up 0.7% year over year), while Redfin’s analysis shows 15% of contracts canceled, with Texas and Florida metros topping the list, according to CNBC. Mortgage rates drifted higher through July before easing in August, offering a modest tailwind heading into September.

pending home salescontract cancellationsfall-throughs+12 more